Friday, September 1, 2023



Payrolls increased by 187K in August, sending the USD and gold on opposing trends.

Despite the advanced stage of the business cycle and the Federal Reserve's most aggressive tightening campaign in decades, U.S. employers increased their workforce significantly last month. This highlights the labor market's exceptional resilience and its capacity to support the larger economy in the second half of 2023.

Contrary to expectations, the U.S. nonfarm payrolls increased by 187,000 in August. The participation percentage creeps up to 62.8% from 62.6%, while the jobless rate rises to 3.8%. Earnings per hour increase on average by 0.2% monthly and 4.3% annually, both of which are one-tenth of one percent below expectations.

The nation added 187,000 jobs in August, more than the 170,000 predicted by Wall Street experts, following a downwardly revised 157,000 rise in July, according to the most recent data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Although there was a lot of hiring going on, the unemployment rate increased to 3.8%.

This is because the labor force grew by 736K people, and the participation rate went from 62.6% to 62.8%.

The U.S. dollar, as represented by the DXY index, started to decline immediately after the announcement of the jobs report, being pulled lower by dropping Treasury yields. As a result of the changes in the fixed-income market, gold prices increased more quickly, rising as much as 0.7%. In September, these market dynamics can pick up speed.

Payrolls increased by 187K in August, sending the USD and gold on opposing trends.

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Payrolls increased by 187K in August, sending the USD and gold on opposing trends.